breakout concept does not accurately

The aforementioned one-year fissile-material breakout estimate assumes that Iran would use its declared nuclear facilities to produce fissile material for a weapon. But the breakout concept does not accurately measure Tehran’s nuclear weapons capability. The U.S. government has long assessed that Iran is more likely to use covert, rather than declared, facilities to produce the requisite fissile material; whether this is still the U.S. assessment is unclear. Neither the U.S. government nor the IAEA have publicly described any evidence that Iran is conducting covert fissile material production nuclear activities. During JCPOA negotiations, the breakout timeline was an unclassified proxy measure of Iranian nuclear weapons capabilities. A State Department official described the breakout “concept” ดูหนัง24

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