The government’s ‘peace’ initiatives are superficial, focusing on fragmenting insurgents rather than addressing their grievances. Without genuine political dialogue and reconciliation, even the most advanced weaponry will not bring stability. In general, a cynical observer might argue that Ethiopia is becoming a proxy battleground for externa
lives and thousands of internally
Ethiopia has been devastated by perpetual bouts of conflict between the Tigray region and the federal government led by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, leading to loss of lives and thousands of internally displaced persons. The present crisis in Ethiopia, particularly in the Amhara region, is largely fuelled by ongoing political instability, power strug
rural Amhara and has launched
The Fano militia, once an ally against the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), now controls vast swathes of rural Amhara and has launched repeated offensives against federal forces.ii The government has failed to defeat Fano despite heavy military investment, including drone strikes and air campaigns. The conflict has displaced over 100,000
breakout concept does not accurately
The aforementioned one-year fissile-material breakout estimate assumes that Iran would use its declared nuclear facilities to produce fissile material for a weapon. But the breakout concept does not accurately measure Tehran’s nuclear weapons capability. The U.S. government has long assessed that Iran is more likely to use covert, rather than dec
the remaining steps necessary
U.S. estimates concerning Iranian nuclear weapon development account for the time necessary to produce a sufficient amount of weapons-grade HEU and also complete the remaining steps necessary for an implosion-style nuclear device suitable for explosive testing. Such a device, according to the Office of Technology Assessment, uses “a shell of chem